Archive for October, 2012



August 2012 Trade Gap is $44.2 Billion

The U.S. monthly international trade deficit increased in August 2012, according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and the U.S. Census Bureau. The deficit increased from $42.5 billion (revised) in July to $44.2 billion in August, as exports decreased more than imports. The previously published July deficit was $42.0 billion. The goods deficit increased $1.5 billion from July to $59.3 billion in August, and the services surplus decreased $0.3 billion to $15.1 billion.

Exports
Exports of goods and services decreased $1.9 billion in August to $181.3 billion, reflecting a decrease in exports of goods. Exports of services increased.
• The decrease in exports of goods was more than accounted for by decreases in industrial supplies and materials; foods, feeds, and beverages; and consumer goods. An increase in capital goods was partly offsetting.
• The increase in exports of services was more than accounted for by increases in other private services, which includes items such as business, professional, and technical services, insurance services, and financial services, and in other transportation, which includes freight and port services.

Imports
Imports of goods and services decreased $0.2 billion in August to $225.5 billion, reflecting a decrease in imports of goods. Imports of services increased.
• The decrease in imports of goods was more than accounted for by decreases in consumer goods; automotive vehicles, parts, and engines; and capital goods. An increase in industrial supplies and materials was partly offsetting.
• The increase in imports of services was more than accounted for by an increase in royalties and license fees, which included an increased amount for the rights to broadcast the portion of the 2012 Summer Olympic Games that occurred in August. July imports include a smaller amount for the portion of the Games that occurred in July.

Goods by geographic area (not seasonally adjusted)
• The goods deficit with Canada increased from $2.1 billion in July to $2.4 billion in August. Exports increased $1.9 billion to $24.7 billion, while imports increased $2.2 billion to $27.0 billion.
• The goods deficit with China decreased from $29.4 billion in July to $28.7 billion in August. Exports increased $0.1 billion to $8.6 billion, while imports decreased $0.6 billion to $37.3 billion.
• The goods deficit with the European Union decreased from $12.0 billion in July to $11.7 billion in August. Exports increased $0.8 billion to $21.3 billion, while imports increased $0.5 billion to $33.1 billion.

To learn more about U.S. international trade in goods and services, read the full report.

BEA Updates Tool Used by Investors, Planners; Here’s How RIMS II Works

The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) updated its Regional Input-Output Modeling System (RIMS II), a tool used by investors, regional planners, and government officials to gauge the impact of a change in economic activity on a local community or a particular region of the country. The update incorporates new information from both BEA’s industry and regional economic accounts.

The premise of RIMS II is that an initial change in economic activity leads to additional changes in economic activity in other industries or sectors of an economy—for example, an increase in furniture manufacturing leads to more production of wood and textile products. The increased production of wood and textile products, in turn, leads to more logging. Workers benefiting from these increases may also spend more, which adds to economic activity.

To account for the relationships between industries and households, RIMS II uses information from BEA’s industry accounts. These accounts include the “recipes” of goods and services used by industries to produce their own products—for example, they show how much manufacturers spend on wood and textile products to produce furniture. These accounts also show how much households spend on particular goods and services.

RIMS II uses the relationships from BEA’s industry accounts data, but adjusts them using regional economic data to account for the fact that many of the goods and services purchased by local industries and households are “imported” from outside a given region—for example, a local furniture manufacturing industry may need to purchase lumber that’s imported from another region. These imports result in money “leaking” out of the economy because they don’t aid local economic activity.

The adjusted relationships are then used to calculate “multipliers,” which can be used to estimate the total effect that an initial change in economic activity has on a region. This total effect can be measured in terms of output (sales), value added (gross domestic product), earning, or jobs (full and part time).

The RIMS II update replaces the 2008 data from BEA’s industry and regional economic accounts previously used in the model with data for 2010. This means that the updated multipliers will reflect more recent recipes used by industries. The updated multipliers will also reflect more recent changes in local supply conditions, including changes for economies that may have grown and now import less to satisfy their own production and consumption needs.

The RIMS II model is customized for each customer’s needs, and its output is available from BEA for a small processing fee. More information is available on the RIMS II Web site.