GDP Growth Accelerates in Third Quarter

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased 4.1 percent in the third quarter of 2013, according to the “third” estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The growth rate was 0.5 percentage point more than the “second” estimate released earlier this month. In the second quarter, the growth rate was 2.5 percent.gdp1

GDP highlights
Inventory investment accelerated in the third quarter, accounting for about 40 percent of real GDP growth, compared with about 15 percent in the second quarter.

GDP less inventory investment (real final sales of domestic product) rose 2.5 percent in the third quarter, compared with 2.1 percent in the second
quarter.

Also contributing to the acceleration in growth, imports rose less in the third quarter than in the second quarter. Spending by state and local governments and by consumers accelerated.

Revisions
The upward revision to third-quarter GDP growth was largely accounted for by a revision to consumer spending—to 2.0 percent growth (third estimate), up from 1.4 percent (second estimate). That revision mainly reflected an upward revision to services, especially to health care and to recreation services. Consumer spending on nondurable goods was also revised up, mainly gasoline and other energy goods.

In addition, business investment was revised up, mainly in intellectual property products, specifically software.

Partially offsetting the upward revisions, residential investment was revised down.

Corporate profitsgdp2
The revised estimate of third-quarter corporate profits was little changed from the previous estimate. Profits increased 1.9 percent after increasing 3.3 percent in the second quarter.
• Profits of nonfinancial corporations rose 1.0 percent after rising 3.2 percent.
• Profits of financial corporations rose 2.1 percent after rising 5.7 percent.
• Profits from the “rest of the world” rose 4.1 percent after rising 1.2 percent.

Over the last four quarters, profits rose 5.7 percent.

For more on GDP, read the full report.



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