Archive for the 'GDP' Category



GDP Decreases in First Quarter

Real gross domestic product (GDP) decreased 2.9 percent in the first quarter of 2014, according to the “third” estimate released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the fourth quarter of 2013, real GDP increased 2.6 percent.

First-quarter highlights

The decline in real GDP was largely accounted for by significant declines in nonfarm inventory investment and in net exports.

In addition, state and local government spending, business investment, and housing investment also contributed to the real GDP decline.

In contrast, consumer spending increased, notably in services (mainly home utilities).quarter to quarter gdp

Revisions

The first-quarter real GDP growth rate was revised down 1.9 percentage points from the second estimate released in May, based on newly available source data.

  • Consumer spending was revised down, primarily reflecting a downward revision to services, mainly to health care.
  • Exports of goods were revised down, reflecting revisions to industrial supplies and materials and to foods, feeds, and beverages. Exports of services were also revised down.
  • Imports of goods were revised up, mainly non-auto capital goods as well as vehicles, engines, and parts. Imports of services were also revised up, mainly travel services.

Corporate profits

BEA’s featured measure of corporate profits declined 9.1 percent at a quarterly rate in the first quarter, after increasing 2.2 percent in the previous quarter, according to updated estimates. The decline was the largest since the fourth quarter of 2008.corporate profits

  • Profits of nonfinancial corporations fell 8.0 percent after rising 1.5 percent.
  • Profits of financial corporations fell 15.1 percent after rising 1.3 percent.
  • Profits from the rest of the world fell 5.8 percent after rising 5.5 percent.

Over the last 4 quarters, corporate profits fell 2.2 percent.

 

GDP Declines in First Quarter

GDP_5_29_14 Real gross domestic product (GDP) decreased 1.0 percent in the first quarter of 2014, according to the “second” estimate released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the fourth quarter of 2013, real GDP increased 2.6 percent.

First-quarter GDP highlights
The decline in real GDP was more than accounted for by a significant decline in inventory investment, notably by motor vehicle dealerships. In fact, GDP less inventory investment (real final sales of domestic product) rose 0.6 percent in the first quarter.

Declines in exports, in business investment, in state and local government spending, and in housing investment also contributed to the decrease in first-quarter real GDP.

In contrast, consumer spending increased, notably in health care and in home utilities.

Revisions
 First-quarter real GDP growth was revised down 1.1 percentage points from the advance estimate released in April, based on newly available source data.

  • Inventory investment was revised down, mainly in retail trade, in manufacturing, and in mining, utilities, and construction.
  • Imports were revised up, notably in foods, feeds, and beverages and in petroleum and related products. Partly offsetting this revision, exports were also revised up, notably in nonautomotive capital goods and in automotive vehicles, engines, and parts.

Corporate profitsProfits_5_29_14
BEA’s featured measure of corporate profits declined 9.8 percent in the first quarter, after increasing  2.2 percent in the previous quarter. The  decline was the largest since the fourth quarter of  2008.

  •  Profits of nonfinancial corporations fell 8.1  percent after rising 1.5 percent.
  • Profits of financial corporations fell 15.0 percent  after rising 1.3 percent.
  • Profits from the rest of the world fell 9.1 percent after rising 5.5 percent.

Over the last 4 quarters, corporate profits fell 3.0 percent.

Read the full report.

GDP Growth Slows in First Quarter

GDP_4_30_14 Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased 0.1 percent in the first quarter of 2014, according to the “advance” estimate released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the fourth quarter of 2013, the growth rate was 2.6 percent.

First-quarter GDP highlights
The slowdown in real GDP growth reflected:

  • A downturn in exports. Exports of industrial supplies and materials as well as foods, feeds, and beverages declined after increasing in the fourth quarter.
  • A downturn in business investment. Spending on transportation equipment fell after rising significantly in the fourth quarter. Spending on computers and peripherals also turned down.
  • A larger decrease in inventory investment. Inventory investment by retail trade companies (mainly motor vehicles dealers) declined significantly after an increase in the fourth quarter.
  • A slowdown in consumer spending, mainly in nondurable goods, notably clothing and footwear as well as food and beverages. These movements were partly offset by faster growth in utilities and healthcare.

In contrast, federal government spending turned up, and imports declined after increasing in the fourth quarter.

Personal income and personal saving
Real disposable personal income (DPI)–personal income adjusted for inflation and taxes–increased 1.9 percent in the first quarter, compared with 0.8 percent in the fourth quarter of 2013. Personal saving as a percent of current -dollar DPI was 4.1 percent, compared with 4.3 percent.

First-quarter prices
GDP_Prices_4_30_14Prices of goods and services bought by U.S. residents rose 1.4 percent in the first quarter, after rising 1.5 percent in the fourth quarter of 2013.

Both energy prices and food prices turned up.

Excluding food and energy, prices increased 1.4 percent in the first quarter after rising 1.8 percent in the fourth quarter.

Read the full report