Archive for the 'Industry' Category

Widespread Industry Growth Drives Upturn in GDP in Second Quarter

Widespread industry growth drove the U.S. economy’s second-quarter rebound, with 19 of the 22 industry groups tracked contributing 6.7 percentage points to real Gross Domestic Product. Finance, insurance, real estate, rental and leasing; manufacturing; and agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting led the way.

Real GDP increased 4.6 percent in the second quarter, after decreasing 2.1 percent in the first quarter.

Real Value Added by Industry

Real value added —a measure of an industry’s contribution to GDP—for finance, insurance, real estate, rental, and leasing increased 2.7 percent in the second quarter, after decreasing 4.1 percent in the first

quarter. The upturn was primarily concentrated in the finance and insurance sector, which includes banking, brokerage and other types of financial services.  Real gross output for the finance and insurance sector – a measure of an industry’s sales or receipts adjusted for inflation – increased 2.7 percent in the second quarter, after increasing 2.3 percent.

Real value added for the manufacturing sector also turned up, increasing 6.8 percent, after decreasing 1.3 percent in the first quarter. Durable-goods manufacturing, which includes motor vehicle manufacturing and computer and electronic product manufacturing, led the overall upturn in manufacturing, increasing 8 percent in the second quarter, after decreasing 4.5 percent.  Similarly, real gross output for durable-goods manufacturing increased 7.3 percent, after decreasing 2.7 percent in the first quarter.

Real value added for the agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting sector increased 14.2 percent.  The sector’s real gross output also rebounded in the second quarter, increasing 6.3 percent, after falling 19.9 percent.

Quarterly GDP by industry statistics, including value added, gross output, and intermediate inputs, can be accessed in BEA’s Interactive Data Application at www.bea.gov/itable/.

New Statistics Will Provide More Timely Snapshot of How Industries are Performing

Want to know how much manufacturing contributed to U.S. economic growth in a given quarter? How about educational services?

For the first time, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) will soon start producing on a regular basis quarterly estimates of economic activity generated by 22 industries.

The first quarterly gross domestic product (GDP) by industry report will be released April 25 and will provide information on how these industries fared in the fourth quarter of 2013 as well as how they performed in previous quarters back to the first quarter of 2005. The report will also provide annual statistics for 2013. Previously, BEA published GDP by industry statistics only on an annual basis, so businesses and policymakers had a much longer wait for such information.

The new quarterly statistics will provide a different look at quarterly economic growth.  For instance, on February 28, BEA reported that the U.S. economy grew at a 2.4 percent pace in the fourth quarter of 2013. While that GDP report provides a lot of crucial information, the new quarterly GDP by industry report will shed light on whether most industries contributed to the nation’s economic growth or whether just a handful of industries accounted for most of it.

The new quarterly statistics also will serve as a better barometer for potential turning points in the U.S. economy and give businesses and policymakers a better understanding of the strengths and weaknesses of the overall economy. For instance, in 2005—during the run up to the great recession—the U.S. economy grew 3.4 percent. Finance, insurance, real estate, rental, and leasing accounted for 1.3 percentage points of that growth—more than a third. Providing regular, timely updates on how economic growth is distributed across the industries can help policymakers and business leaders identify potential trouble spots in the economy.

BEA officials will discuss these new GDP by industry statistics at a data user conference March 11 at BEA.

These new estimates are just one way that BEA is innovating to better measure the 21st Century economy. This year, BEA also will introduce real (inflation-adjusted) estimates of personal income for states and metropolitan areas, along with prototype estimates of quarterly GDP by state and annual consumer spending by state. Providing businesses and individuals with new data tools like these is a priority of the Commerce Department’s “Open for Business Agenda.”

BEA’s Industry Economic Accounts to Hit Major Milestone

Roughly every 5 years, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) releases comprehensive revisions of its major economic accounts. These revisions are generally more detailed than annual revisions, implementing changes in methods, statistics and definitions to better reflect an ever-evolving economy. In December, BEA will release the 2013 comprehensive revision of the Industry Economic Accounts (IEAs), which includes two main sets of statistics, the annual industry accounts and the benchmark input-output (I-O) accounts. That will follow the release in July of a comprehensive revision of the National Income and Product Accounts (NIPAs), or GDP accounts.

The upcoming comprehensive IEA revision will mark a significant milestone: the full integration of the IEAs with the NIPAs, which was first suggested in a March 2004 article in the Survey of Current Business and later amplified in other articles. This enhanced integration, which has long been recommended by economists, will allow for a higher degree of consistency among these widely followed accounts, offering a more consistent view of industry dynamics within the overall economy.

A preview of the 2013 comprehensive revision of the IEAs was published in the June 2013 issue of the Survey.